27.06.2018 13:00 Michael C. Ferris (University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA):
Modelling 100 percent renewable electricityMI 02.06.011 (Boltzmannstr. 3, 85748 Garching)

In the past few decades, power grids across the world have become dependent on markets that aim to efficiently match supply with demand at all times via a variety of pricing and auction mechanisms. These markets are based on models that capture interactions between producers, transmission and consumers. Energy producers typically maximize profits by optimally allocating and scheduling resources over time. A dynamic equilibrium aims to determine prices and dispatches that can be transmitted over the electricity grid to satisfy evolving consumer requirements for energy at different locations and times. Computation allows large-scale practical implementations of socially optimal models to be solved as part of the market operation, and regulations can be imposed that aim to ensure competitive behaviour of market participants. The recent explosion in the use of renewable supply such as wind, solar and hydro has led to increased volatility in this system. We develop models that aim to ensure enough generation capacity for the long term under various constraints related to environmental concerns, and consider the recovery of costs for this enhanced infrastructure. We demonstrate how risk can impose significant costs on the system that are not modeled in the context of socially optimal power system markets and highlight the use of contracts to reduce or recover these costs. We also outline how battery storage can be used as an effective hedging instrument. This is joint work with Andy Philpott, University of Auckland.