15.07.2024 15:00 Gianmarco del Sarto:
A non-autonomous framework for climate change and extreme weather events increase in a stochastic energy balance modelMI 03.06.011 (Boltzmannstr. 3, 85748 Garching)

We develop a three-timescale framework for modelling climate change and introduce a space-heterogeneous one-dimensional energy balance model. This model, addressing temperature fluctuations from rising carbon dioxide levels and the super-greenhouse effect in tropical regions, fits within the setting of stochastic reaction-diffusion equations. Our results show how both mean and variance of temperature increase, without the system going through a bifurcation point. This study aims to advance the conceptual understanding of the extreme weather events frequency increase due to climate change. This is a joint work with Prof. F. Flandoli.